Description

This analysis provides a forecast of JASMY prices using a Seasonal ARIMA model with Box-Cox transformation. The forecast includes different scenarios:

The confidence levels used are 68%, 95%, and 99.7%, which means there is a corresponding probability that the actual price will fall within the Bear and Bull case range for each confidence level.

The purpose of this model is to help investors understand potential future price movements and make informed decisions based on different market scenarios.

Bear_0.997 Bear_0.95 Bear_0.68 Base Bull_0.68 Bull_0.95 Bull_0.997
2025-06-01 0.009722 0.011583 0.013855 0.016890 0.020916 0.026203 0.033893
2025-06-08 0.007492 0.009689 0.012718 0.017382 0.024758 0.036744 0.059711
2025-06-15 0.006135 0.008337 0.011609 0.017145 0.027067 0.046123 0.092828
2025-06-22 0.005089 0.007138 0.010335 0.016105 0.027414 0.052122 0.127056
2025-06-29 0.004539 0.006561 0.009868 0.016230 0.029917 0.064428 0.201064
2025-07-06 0.004194 0.006236 0.009729 0.016885 0.033836 0.083939 0.363675
2025-07-13 0.003994 0.006110 0.009899 0.018192 0.040041 0.118242 0.844658
2025-07-20 0.003745 0.005857 0.009776 0.018830 0.044939 0.156592 2.086924
2025-07-27 0.003477 0.005531 0.009450 0.018899 0.048267 0.195646 5.718338
2025-08-03 0.003255 0.005258 0.009183 0.019040 0.052025 0.248434 27.491604
2025-08-10 0.002999 0.004894 0.008669 0.018410 0.052690 0.283998 202.970443
2025-08-17 0.002746 0.004511 0.008066 0.017406 0.051414 0.302345 9143.091207
2025-08-24 0.002518 0.004175 0.007566 0.016703 0.051672 0.347670 NaN
2025-08-31 0.002395 0.004033 0.007478 0.017180 0.057793 0.509296 NaN
2025-09-07 0.002241 0.003813 0.007178 0.016947 0.060497 0.661068 NaN
2025-09-14 0.002058 0.003517 0.006665 0.015923 0.058367 0.707307 NaN
2025-09-21 0.001959 0.003385 0.006520 0.016046 0.062942 1.019347 NaN
2025-09-28 0.001897 0.003323 0.006530 0.016691 0.071671 1.834502 NaN
2025-10-05 0.001868 0.003326 0.006703 0.017978 0.087161 5.004010 NaN
2025-10-12 0.001810 0.003261 0.006694 0.018605 0.099240 14.163302 NaN
2025-10-19 0.001734 0.003150 0.006550 0.018673 0.106892 41.075153 NaN
2025-10-26 0.001668 0.003053 0.006430 0.018811 0.116014 263.412589 NaN
2025-11-02 0.001580 0.002903 0.006148 0.018192 0.116060 1224.526679 NaN